Market Calls

2017

 

Turn Date: 6-12-2017 & 7-16-2017 | Call: Bitcoin Top & Bottom

Targets: 3080 & 1800 | Actual: 3020 & 1820

Margin of Error: 2% & 1% | Max Return: 40% & 147% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 20 & 147

On June 12, 2017, Matt called for a short-term top in Bitcoin at 3080. The actual top occurred at roughly 3020.  Bitcoin then sold off about 40% – down to 1820.  On July 16, 2017, Matt then called for a low in Bitcoin at roughly 1800. As of August 19, Bitcoin rallied as high as $4500 (another target high Matt called correctly) for a gain of about 145%.  Where will Bitcoin go next? Subscribe to DNA Investor to find out.

 

Turn Date: 1-3-2017 | Call: Dollar Medium-Term Top

Target: 103.50 | Actual: 103.82

Margin of Error: 0.31% | Max Return: 7.94% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 26

On May 23, 2016, Matt reveals his medium-term target in the US Dollar Index – at roughly 103. He says the process may take some time but will likely complete by the end of the year.  The actual high occurred at 103.82 about 7 months later.

Turn Date: 1-3-2017 | Call: Euro Long-Term Bottom

Target: 105.00 | Actual: 103.40

Margin of Error: 1.52% | Max Return: 12.38% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 8

On February 12, 2016, Matt says he’s targeting a long-term bottom in the Euro at about 1.05.  The Euro actually bottomed 10 months later at 103.40.

Turn Date: 1-11-2017 | Call: Mexico Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 42.10 | Actual: 41.23

Margin of Error: 2.1% | Max Return: 37.3% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 18

On November 25, 2016, Matt calls for a bottom in the Mexico ETF around 43 and sets a stop at 41.  The actual low occurred at 41.23 about 7 weeks later.

2016

 

Stock Market Forecast for 2016

 

Turn Date: 1-20-2016 | Call: Dow Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 15369 | Actual: 15450

Margin of Error: 0.53% | Max Return: 43.00% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 82

On December 29, 2015, Matt provides his 2016 Stock Market Forecast.  He calls for a broad market selloff down to August 2015 levels and then calls for a massive reversal and move higher to new highs for 2016.  His analysis on both counts proves accurate over the next 12 months.

Turn Date: 2-2-2016 | Call: Nikkei Short-Term Top

Target: 17880 | Actual: 17910

Margin of Error: 0.17% | Max Return: 16.37% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 98

On February 2, 2016, Matt calls for a short-term top in the Nikkei at 17,880. The actual top occurred at 17910.  In addition, he calls for a retracement down to the 15,000s.

Turn Date: 2-11-2016 | Call: High Yield Bonds Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 75.82 | Actual: 75.09

Margin of Error: 0.96% | Max Return: 17.49% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 18

On January 26, 2016, Matt calls for a bottom in HYG, the High Yield Bond ETF in the high 75s. The actual bottom occurred at 75.09 about 2 weeks later.

 

Turn Date: 2-12-2016 | Call: Nikkei Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 15000 | Actual: 14953

Margin of Error: 0.31% | Max Return: 38.17% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 122

On January 26, 2016, Matt calls for a medium-term bottom in the Nikkei at 15,000. The actual bottom occurred 2 weeks later at 14,953.

Turn Date: 3-10-2016 | Call: Euro Stoxx Short-Term Top

Target: 3080 | Actual: 3128

Margin of Error: 1.56% | Max Return: 8.60% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 6

On March 8, 2016, Matt calls for a short-term top in the Euro Stoxx 50 at 3080. The actual top occurred at 3128 two days later.

Turn Date: 4-21-2016 | Call: Euro Stoxx Short-Term Top

Target: 3160 | Actual: 3157

Margin of Error: 0.09% | Max Return: 9.41% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 99

On April 22, 2016, Matt calls for an immediate top in the Euro Stoxx 50 (with a previously stated target of 3160).  The call was correct and the Euro Stoxx fell roughly 9% over the following two months.

Turn Date: 5-3-2016 | Call: Euro Medium-Term Top

Target: 1.1600 | Actual: 1.1616

Margin of Error: 0.14% | Max Return: 10.86% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 79

On April 29, 2016, Matt calls for a short-term top in the Euro at 1.16. The actual top occurs at 1.162 two days later. He also reiterates his call for the US Dollar Index to break over 100 by the end of the year – which also turns out to be accurate.

Turn Date: 5-30-2016 | Call: Gold Short-Term Bottom

Target: 1234 | Actual: 1227

Margin of Error: 0.57% | Max Return: 13.65% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 24

On May 30, 2016, Matt expects a short-term bottom in gold.  A bottom is put the next day and gold rallies for the next month.

 

Turn Date: 6-23-2016 | Call: Brexit VXX Short-Term Bottom

Target: 12.90 | Actual: 12.76

Margin of Error: 1.09% | Max Return: 38.42% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 35

On May 23, 2016, Matt says he believes that the Pound must fall and therefore he believes that the UK is likely to vote to leave the EU.  Then, on June 23, shortly before the votes were tallied, VXX, the Volatility ETF, reaches his target low – indicating that a volatility event is about to take place – meaning a Leave vote is imminent.  He buys VXX only hours before the Leave vote is announced.

 

Turn Date: 6-27-2016 | Call: Post-Brexit Stoxx Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 2700 | Actual: 2678

Margin of Error: 0.81% | Max Return: 37.78% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 46

On June 24, 2016, one day after the Brexit vote, Matt calls for an imminent bottom in the Euro Stoxx 50. The bottom occurs the following day near Matt’s documented target of 2700 and then rallies for the rest of the year.

 

Turn Date: 7-6-2016 | Call: Treasuries / 10 Year Rate Ultra-Long-Term Bottom

Target: 1.35% | Actual: 1.34%

Margin of Error: 1.04% | Max Return: 92.87% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 90

Over multiple months from early-May to early-July, Matt pounds the table stating that the 35-year bull market in long-term US Treasuries is about to end.  Conversely, he says the 10-year rate should bottom at 1.3%-1.4% for the ultra long-term. The actual low in the rate (and top in Treasuries) occurs on July 6 at 1.34%.

Turn Date: 7-7-2016 | Call: Gold Short-Term Top

Target: 1400 | Actual: 1379

Margin of Error: 1.50% | Max Return: 18.75% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 13

On July 8, 2016, Matt calls for a short-term top in gold at roughly 1400. The actual top occurred 2 days prior at 1378.

Turn Date: 9-7-2016 | Call: EM Bonds Long-Term Top

Target: 118 | Actual: 118.14

Margin of Error: 0.12% | Max Return: 35.30% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 298

On August 29, 2016, Matt says he feels strongly that Emerging Market Bonds (EMB) topped 118 for the long term.  The actual top occurs a week later at 118.14.

Turn Date: 9-9-2016 | Call: VXD Short-Term Bottom

Target: 11.78 | Actual: 11.63

Margin of Error: 1.27% | Max Return: 67.41% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 53

On July 20, 2016, Matt predicts a major spike in VXD (Dow Volatility) sometime in September based upon his chart patterns.  The call proves accurate both in time and price.

Turn Date: 10-7-2016 | Call: Pound Long-Term Bottom

Target: 1.22 | Actual: 1.18

Margin of Error: 3.28% | Max Return: 12.05% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 4

On October 10, 2016, Matt calls for a bottom in the Pound after the flash crash low to 1.18 on the prior trading day.  (This was near his documented pre-Brexit target of 1.22.)

Turn Date: 10-7-2016 | Call: Gold Short-Term Bottom

Target: 1250 | Actual: 1249

Margin of Error: 0.08% | Max Return: 7.73% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 97

On October 7, 2016, Matt calls for an imminent short-term bottom in gold and silver. A bounce occurs within 24 hours of his call.

Turn Date: 10-13-2016 | Call: Cattle Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 95.00 | Actual: 96.10

Margin of Error: 1.16% | Max Return: 50.10% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 43

On October 14, 2016, Matt calls for an imminent bottom in Live Cattle.  Cattle bottoms with 24 hours and runs 50% higher over the next 9 months.

Turn Date: 10-19-2016 | Call: Hogs Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 42.50 | Actual: 40.71

Margin of Error: 4.21% | Max Return: 69.41% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 16

On October 3, 2016, Matt call for a significant bottom in Hogs roughly 2-3% lower than current prices.  The actual bottom occurs 2 weeks later about 6% lower and then runs up by about 70% over the next  9 months.

Turn Date: 10-19-2016 | Call: Oil Short-Term Top

Target: 52.20 | Actual: 52.25

Margin of Error: 0.10% | Max Return: 19.46% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 203

On October 17, 2016, Matt calls for an imminent short-term top in oil. Oil tops 2 trading days later almost exactly at Matt’s documented target.

 

Turn Date: 11-9-2016 | Call: Dow Trump Bottom

Target: 17,420 | Actual: 17,402

Margin of Error: 0.10% | Max Return: 26.30% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 255

On October 17, 2016, Matt describes a rising target line for the Dow to achieve on the downside.  The target line proves to be extremely precise but it is only achieved in Dow futures in Globex trading the night of the Trump election.  Matt buys 3 Dow futures contracts at his target line (with a tight stop) and sells them 5 hours later about 500 points higher.

Turn Date: 12-20-2016 | Call: Silver Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 15.80 | Actual: 15.70

Margin of Error: 0.63% | Max Return: 18.54% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 29

On December 19, 2016, Matt calls for an imminent bottom in gold and silver.  He specifically singles out silver and says he’s a buyer.  The actual bottom occurs the next trading day and silver runs 18% higher over the next few months.

Turn Date: 12-5-2016 | Call: Municipal Bonds Short-Term Bottom

Target: 106.77 | Actual: 106.30

Margin of Error: 0.44% | Max Return: 9.29% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 21

After being tremendously bearish 6 months before, Matt calls for an imminent short-term bottom in Municipal Bonds (MUB) on December 5.  The actual bottom was put in 2 trading days prior to the recorded call at roughly the same price level.

Turn Date: 12-12-2016 | Call: Oil Short-Term Top

Target: 57.20 | Actual: 56.95

Margin of Error: 0.44% | Max Return: 28.67% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 66

On December 9, 2016, Matt calls for a short-term top in oil to occur soon.  The actual high occurs the next trading day falling short of his documented prime target by 0.35 – a small margin of error.

Turn Date: 12-15-2016 | Call: Gold Medium-Term Bottom

Target: 1135 | Actual: 1129

Margin of Error: 0.53% | Max Return: 14.25% | Return-to-Risk Ratio: 27

On December 12, 2016, Matt calls for an imminent bottom in gold.  Gold bottoms three trading days later about 0.55% higher than Matt’s documented target.

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